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Scenario 20 Speculative

Artificial General Intelligence

Tier 5: Speculative

Economic ±5
Social ±5
Political ±5
Existential ±5

The development of AI systems that match or exceed human cognitive ability across all domains. The implications are so profound and uncertain that meaningful prediction is impossible. This scenario is included not because it is likely in the near term, but because it shapes the behavior of every actor in the AI ecosystem.